Monday, December 28, 2009
Weekend updates
Thursday, December 24, 2009
US Airways (LCC) + C
If you are a long investor this looks like a good play, I think in 2011 if this is in your portfolio it will be a great value play and you can sell OTM calls on it while holding, especially if you go out 3 months or if you are happy with some extra cash you can look at the 11 and 12 LEAPS.
I have also been picking up some CITIGroup (C) since their offering...
Happy Trading...
Friday, December 11, 2009
Airlines
I would keep an eye on these and consider some covered calls if you decide to buy long. There are bound to be dips over the long-run and buying back the calls on down days may be a good way to build some cash reserves.
Happy Trading...
MDOR is Steadily Rising
Happy Trading
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Options Education Opportunity
If you haven't heard of an options term called "The Greeks" this will be your first introduction to one of them named Theta, T for time. Theta is an option indicator relative to time. You should be familiar with the term time decay and options as well as how it impacts the overall makeup of the premium. This is the indicator that is showing the 16 calls will not move much more than a cent or two. The XLF would have to be above 16 in order for them to become worth much more than .10 by the time next Friday rolls around.
Many new options traders trade premiums like stocks anticipating the premium price will continue to climb as the underlying climbs regardless of how little or slow the underlying is moving in relation to the expiration date. In other words they forget that the XLF Nov 16 call option, with 6-days left on it, is pretty much worthless at this point and with no real volitility no reason for the premium to be worth anything much more than 0. XLF would have to be over 16 by next Friday at 4pm in order for them to begin to be worth more than worthless or a couple of pennies. Why would you pay premium for an equity you can buy outright for less?
This is why I usually suggest buying options a couple of months out providing time to recover losses or bad timings.
Happy Trading...
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Berkshire Split!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If you want to be long this is one to be long...
Happy Trading
Making money in markets like this
Don't just not be greedy be gracious. Set tight stops and limits that will execute intra-day, especially days like yesterday where we had a 140 point swing from top to bottom. 10% returns instead of 25-50%. Look for an aggregate percentage return over multiple trading days instead of all at once.
If you are buying Puts or Calls to trade premiums by them in the money not just at the money, this will provide more cushion to recover if the market swings widely in either direction. Set your buy up lower than you normally would to take advantage of the swings.
This will be another telling week with more economic data to solidify consensus on going higher or lower this year. Trade accordingly.
Continued Happy Trading...
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
Dry Bulk Shipping
Things to look at with shipping are the Baltic Index, Spot Rates, Charter Contracts, shipping capacities. Many of the shipping stocks suspended dividends in order to take advantage of the ship purchases during the downturn.
TNK's dividend is around 20% at today's price. Frontline (FRO) was another favorite for a ridiculously high dividend payment...
CNBC had a good post today so here it is: http://www.cnbc.com/id/33492795
Happy Trading...
CopySync Update COYN.OB
COYN was able to secure 1.5M in funding, this funding issue was analysts number one worry. Running out of capital before getting your product out and selling strongly is the death nell of most small businesses. After the cash infusion they had comments redacted the cash positioning worry.
I picked up another 10K shares on this down-turn. Although Wall Street and the Investor dictate a stock price this product is absolutely great and on target with its niche.
We'll have to see what the yearly earnings statement looks like and any guidance. Also the 1.5M is supposed to help them clear a backlog of orders. I think if this ever gets the attention of the investor and they do any kind of due diligence this should reach back to the .35-.50 levels and form a new base. As long as the pump and dump scammers stay away.
Happy Trading
Monday, October 26, 2009
Another XLF Update
The XLF after being up over 20% after purchasing is down, way down today... It is down well over 20% and into oversold territory and dropped below its 200-day moving average as the dollar strengthened and banks were having issues and downgrades. This condition sometimes creates an environment for a rebound and with as cheap as the $16 Nov Calls are would make for a good trade going forward, all depending on Thursday's GDP numbers. Especially if it can make it back over its 200MVA...

Currently sitting at .10 and over 350,000 open interest looks like the trend is for XLF to go higher by the Nov expiration. With XLF over 15.20 these should be easily over .20 or 100% return....
More Happy Trading...
Hindsight in Perspective
From Trading Goddess RSS 26 Oct 09
Happy Trading....
Saturday, October 24, 2009
The Recession is over!
Now the concern is are we making our money overseas from a declining dollar and will that drive US investor's to overseas markets? My long-term investments that are in foreign owned companies are up almost 80% ytd as compared to my US value which is closer to 40%.
As volitile as this market has been looking at some spyder ETF's and trading the options on specific sectors may be a smarter move given this weeks impact of durable goods and GDP.
Trading the DIA may be a good money maker but I would keep the sell limits tight and not get greedy.
If tech turns around, especially after the strong top and bottom line reports of some big players the QQQQ's may be another option as well.
I think this week's reports will be a make or break event for the current rally, so watch it close and place trades appropriately, if the numbers are bad pick up some DIA, QQQQ or SPY puts.
One way to take advantage of this is to set up trade triggers with TDAmeritrade. If the market takes a drop as the numbers are released and the index drops set up a buy of PUTS at/near the money and take an immediate market order. First time you will ever hear me say to use a market order, but if the numbers are bad then it will drop fast. Reverse the logic to take advantage of strenght if numbers are good.
Recommend looking into Trade trigger's if you have never used them before.
As always, Happy Trading!
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
XLF Update
XLF Nov 16 Calls are up 23% since I bought them, holding out for C and BAC earnings.
Now that the DOW is over 10000 I'm starting to look at my pullback strategy with the DIAmonds.
Happy trading...
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Acorda Therapeutics ACOR
Happy Trading...
INTC and the Futures
Looks like we have made some good calls for now...
Happy Trading...
Monday, October 12, 2009
XLF Calls
Happy trading
FAZ, RIFIN and Puts
Banks are about half way through their balance sheet losses so still much upside, especially with fees, refinances with rates so low, M&A and restructuring...
Happy Trading
Wednesday, October 7, 2009
DIA Conviction
So how do we play from here, I think the Oct 98 should be strong since JP and GS report next week and after all the fees and refinance and balance sheet magic should report well and well that will send the DOW even higher...
Happy trading...
Saturday, October 3, 2009
Diamond Calls!
Happy Trading...
Magnum D'or Resources (MDOR.OB)

Friday, September 18, 2009
Closed ARNA PUTS
I was going to play a covered call, but the Put premiums were great and I was bullish on the stock to start so it was the right play. No money out and all money in...
Happy Trading...
Monday, September 7, 2009
A Diamond Strategy, Options on DIA
The last week of August led the $INDU higher and market history says that we are do for a minor correction in September. With that the Diamonds were trading around 95 on the last Friday of August so I picked October 92 PUTS at 1.90. As I expected the market to make some southern adjustments. As expected the market on average news took profits broadly an ended up with an almost 200-point drop on the 1st of September, quicker than I had anticipated but to lock in profits I was able to sell between 2.50 and 2.90 on2 September. I still believe we are headed a little further south which would provided greater returns on my puts, however, the number one rule in trading is not be emotional—hence greedy.
The idea here is that this is a fairly repeatable trade, whichever side you are on for the week or month you can buy CALLS or PUTS around the money and take profits relatively quickly.
I don’t recommend selling calls or puts, especially in this market environment since you can get yourself into trouble rather quickly. By being a buyer you know what your maximum loss is going into the trade.
Happy Trading
Overbought Equities, You Have Options...
Profit taking is almost certain with any market pullback and history shows a September market correction of about 1% so a correction is almost inevitable. With the state of the economy a severe correction is a possibility and it is now time to protect yourself.
Fortunately you have two options, sell outright and take your profits or buy some PUTS at a month and strike price you are comfortable with to protect against any unforeseen radical market correction. I would recommend December to get through most of the 4th quarter earnings.
With the recent rally a profitable strike price should be available. Many premiums are around 5% of the stock price, inexpensive but don’t forget to factor that in as a deduction of your expected profit return.
Happy Trading
OSIR Cash Secured PUT Trades
BP options premiums are usually at their highest when a clinical study announcement or FDA approval is imminent. In the case of OSIR not only are results imminent but the shares are hard to borrow so the PUT premiums are very high.
When I go into one of these trades I look for the “environmental factors” that can affect the stock while waiting for the announcement. These are earnings release date, mosts BP operate negatively during R&D phases. Available cash or partnership agreements to make sure the company can continue its study and other development activities through clinical trials. I try to find as much information about the product and its current success/failures during prior phases as some indicator to how the current phase may resolve. Phase 3 trials are usually double blind tests so no one really knows until the data is compiled but you can find extenuating conditions, such as severe patient reaction, death or the FDA putting a stop to the trial. I look at volume and steady price increase closer to expected results indicating more analyst expect positive results. I also look at a strike price I am comfortable with buying the stock at which is usually around the 50 or 100-day moving average.
Once I am “risk-satisfied,” Since I am bullish, I start selling PUTS at an acceptable risk/reward premium. For OSIR the Sep 10 PUTS were upwards of $3 when the underlying stock was trading just north of $11. OSIR is now over $14 on increasing volume and result expected any week now. I am break-even if the stock falls to approx $7.
For those more risk averse, as the stock rises the PUT premiums dropped. You can buy-to-close at any time and lock in the profits
Happy Trading...
Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Ancestry.com to file for $75M IPO
My last IPO Pics were Visa, VMW, RAX and SOLQ!
Happy trading...
Oh yeah, BIEL is still around .08! Crazy.
Ancestry.com to file for $75M IPO
Monday, August 3, 2009
Penny Infatuation
Happy trading...
Sunday, August 2, 2009
A Pivot in the Diamonds?
I think despite the run we have had there will be a pullback, nothing dramatic but fundamentally required. People will be taking profits this week as you would normally expect in a rally of this type.
I am planning on seeing how Monday unfolds, some more earnings out before and after the bell, and will look at buying Aug 88 DIA PUTS. If it looks like we may in for a stronger pullback the next support should be around $82. I would look at spreading out between 88 and 82.
If you have time check out the same for the QQQQ and SPY!
Happy Trading...
COPSynch Software (COYN.OB)
I mention this hear, as my second OTC trade, since I think it is a great product and after they presented last week at the Federal Law Enforcement Day in D.C. the volume rose as I expected. Volume still isn't huge but it was 3X avg volume and price was up as well.
PR here: http://www.globenewswire.com/newsroom/news.html?d=170105
I picked this up some time back based on what I saw in their application of current technology and reception the product has been receiving as well as the assistance they provided to help an agency with a $10M grant proposal to purchase and install their software. I removed my limit order on it and will be watching this as a potential investment or longer term swing trade.
Happy Trading...
Saturday, August 1, 2009
Cyberknife system is one treatment for Prostate Cancer
Happy trading...
Thursday, July 30, 2009
ESLR Follow up #2
I am looking at a covered call set-up for Dec 2.50. could pay for christmas itself. I see ESLR trading in a tight range between 2 and 2.25 or so until the numbers get better.
Happy trading...
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
High Frequency Trading
http://www.greenfaucet.com/economy/demystifying-high-frequency-trading/77528
Closed ESLR Today
Happy Trading...
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
BIEL Update!

So what do we learn from this? Almost a perfect text-book "buy the rumor sell the news play."
The press has been hyping this thing (not necessarily wrongly), blogs and discussion groups have been throwing around the FDA approvals (The belief was the company would announce at the CC or before) like they were a sure thing and due out today and the company press about its product is great. All these things tied together cause us humans to become very greedy and in an attempt to make a quick buck radically buy a stock up without any real understanding of what they are doing. Those that are fammiliar with this trend can fairly easily take advantage of this and buy on the way up and sell just before the news. The hard part is in the timing, I could have held and attempted to get out at what I thought would have been the peak, however I too probably would have got caught up in the "It's going to hit a dollar today" psychology.
So the Shark Food for today is to see the buy the rumor and sell the news trend with some trading discipline thrown in to round out the meal. How many of your bank accounts return over 100%?
Now, I will attempt to keep my shark sense on this because this company has great potential for all the reasons people are touting. The hard part is taking an investor verses a traders mind set and buying some for the long run. Not ready to do this at this price, if it pulls back below .05 I'll start buying some for an investment purpose. The only other "speculative investment" I own is Cord Blood America (CBAI). For the same reason, I like the CEO, I like the business plan and they have a tangible product...
Happy trading!
Monday, July 27, 2009
BioElectronics
Can't complain about another double this year!
Happy Trading.
ESLR Follow up

Follow up to the Diamonds (DIA)
There was some significant 80 and 92 strike put spreads (Aug-Dec) brought last week on the SPY the S&P 500 ETF. By significant I mean 100's of thousands of contracts. A pretty bearish bet over the next 4-months. I think the fundamentals obviously point to a pullback at some point, we are overbought and touching the top band of the bollingers on the $INDU.
The timing is key now. For the Diamonds some Aug 88 puts might be good. Spread it out and pick up some Sept 85's as well.
Happy trading...
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Diamonds and Returns
Some of the reasons:
Estimates were soft.
Cost cutting was raising balance sheets. (Not actually increase in margins and sales)
Enough of a PSYOP campaing when Alcoa (AA) announced a shortfall in expectations and guidance.
The market doesn't makes sense.
Upgrades on Goldman Sachs
Revised unemployment numbers
etc. etc. etc...
Any of those strike prices bought on Friday are up well over a %100. I just got back from a business trip and have been slowly watching the DOW rise while my mobile trading platform is stuck in upgrade mode. No I can't complain to anyone, much, since it is a free third-party platform for TDAmeritrade and I don't like AMTDW.COM wireless for time sensitive trades and its lack of insight into charts and volume.
So now I feel like I did the week of 9 March 2009 when I was on vacation and had cash tied up in puts, which wasn't a bad thing in a bull-run (bear rally market) but certainly not a 2.50ish FAS or 1ish UYG trade, or any of the banks for that matter. Yes, I had planned on buying FAS that Monday morning but was busy waiting in line for an airplane and trying to close some of those puts to free up some cash.
Anyway. So the data is out, GE, C and BAC report tomorrow, does it matter, C is owned by the government, A shot that GE should be worth $2 and BAC has its own MOU rumors. So if their earnings are bad does it matter and how will it affect the market.
With IBM and GOOG reporting good earnings it wasn't enough yet for the market to gurantee a rally, futures are down at this moment. Anticipation on C, GE and BAC are holding them back.
If they do report well and more importantly guide well, I would be buying the 85$ DIA July calls around 10 am with a TS €or limit of your choice. If they are bad would be buying August 83/82 or 81 DIA calls and taking advantage of the added time benefit and pullback that is academic in this traders market.
Let's see what happens... Yes, I am expecting to get my first half of my ESLR shares tomorrow!
Happy Trading.
Wednesday, July 8, 2009
First Shark Sense Trade Review
I am a fan of Solar stocks especially when they are around the $2 mark. This could be because I missed the SOLR, SOL, YGE etc... rally. However, when ESLR got an upgrade and a $5 price target my shark senses were perked. I had to investigate a smart way to get into ESLR. Especially since the target price would score a double... So I know you don't know me yet but I am an options trader and when I want to buy a stock for a long holding, especially a speculative one I look at selling PUTS to take advantage of the market environment and pressure on the stock to pick up the stock at a reduced price. Now with ESLR I SOLD July 2.50 puts and September 2.50 puts today. I should either keep $2100 dollars if ESLR is above 2.50 next Friday and in Sept or start picking up my long shares for under $2 courtesy of the premiums and volitility. .55 for July and .80 for September... 20 contracts each. Here is an article from Schaeffer's research, I like it because it's bullish with a realistic warning that there is always potential for selling pressure. Downside risk, the stocks' 52-week low was a buck and with the premiums I received is well worth any risk of touching lows as this is a long play.
Now if Solar would break away from its Oil correlation that would be great. We still need to pursue alternative energy!