Monday, November 2, 2026

Rocket Lab Reports November 9 as the VIX Gives Back Part of Friday's Jump

SharkWater Trading  •  Pre-Market Desk • Earnings Calendar

Rocket Lab Reports November 9 as the VIX Gives Back Part of Friday's Jump

November 2, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

Rocket Lab (Nasdaq: RKLB) will report third-quarter 2026 results after the close on Monday, November 9, with a call at 2:00 p.m. PT, per its October 20 release. NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA) follows on November 17. The Cboe VIX showed 18.89 this morning, down 2.73 percent (0.53) from Friday's 19.42 close. I found no new filing dated October 30 or later in the seven EDGAR feeds I could read. No catalyst changed overnight. The calendar did.

The Dates

Rocket Lab's release is dated October 20, 2026 and states results come after the close on November 9, with the webcast at 2:00 p.m. PT (5:00 p.m. ET). That is seven days out. The space group has not had a company-specific catalyst since the October filings went quiet, so this print sets the tone for the sector.

Nebius (Nasdaq: NBIS) posted a release on October 30 announcing the date of its third-quarter call. I read the headline only. The date itself is not verified. NVIDIA's call is Tuesday, November 17, at 2 p.m. PT per its October 28 newsroom release. I did not open the release body or a matching 8-K.

Issuer Event Date
RKLB Q3 2026 results, call 2:00 p.m. PT Nov 9, after close
NVDA Q3 FY2027 call, 2:00 p.m. PT Nov 17
NBIS Q3 2026 call date announced Oct 30 NOT VERIFIED

Sources: Rocket Lab release dated 2026-10-20; NVIDIA newsroom release dated 2026-10-28; Nebius newsroom 2026-10-30 (headline only). Read 2026-11-02.

The Volatility Read

The Cboe page printed a VIX spot of 18.89, an open of 19.05 and a previous close of 19.42, labeled "Data as of 9:26 AM 11/2/2026." The label gives no time zone, and the data is delayed at least 20 minutes. The 52-week range is 13.38 to 35.30. Friday's close was up 12.91 percent, and I found no cause for that move. Today's partial reversal has no identified cause either. I did not pull an options chain and state no premiums.

A swell that rolls in under a flat sky still moves the boat. You check the buoy, not the sky.

What the Filings Show

EDGAR submissions feeds read November 2, 2026 for NVIDIA, Rocket Lab, Micron, Broadcom, Nebius, Cerebras and AGNC show nothing dated October 30 or later. Newest entries: Nebius October 29, Cerebras Form 4 on October 28 (accession 0001628280-26-067978, contents not opened), Micron October 15, NVIDIA October 13, Rocket Lab October 2, Broadcom September 25, AGNC September 11. Most feeds were cut by the fetch tool before the form-type array, so a quiet feed is strong evidence, not proof.

What I Could Not Verify

EDGAR blocked my company lookups, so IREN, TeraWulf, Oklo, NuScale, AST SpaceMobile, Intuitive Machines, Planet, Redwire, Wolfspeed and Orchid Island were not re-checked today. No primary-source price or volume exists for this morning, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run. Distributions, NAV and premium or discount for the pre-IPO and income vehicles are NOT VERIFIED.

The Bull Case

  • Dated catalysts. November 9 and November 17 are fixed. The group has reasons to reprice on schedule.
  • Volatility easing. VIX at 18.89 is down from 19.42 and sits below the midpoint of its 13.38 to 35.30 range.
  • No filing shock. Seven readable feeds show nothing new behind Friday's volatility jump.

The Bear Case

  • Event risk compounds. Two major prints in eight days can drag every linked name in the same direction.
  • Unexplained swings. A 12.91 percent jump and a partial reversal, both without an identified cause, give no handle on risk.
  • Blind coverage. Without verified price and volume, any watchlist name could already be moving.

The SharkWater Take

I am not building a trade off a calendar and a delayed VIX print. Rocket Lab on November 9 is the first real test for the space names, and I want the guidance range and Neutron timing from the last release in hand before I form a view. Until I have a live chain from my broker and the opening tape, this setup is not worth taking.

Tight lines, SharkWater

Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work.

Sunday, November 1, 2026

NVIDIA Sets November 17 Earnings Call as the Filings Tape Goes Quiet

SharkWater Trading  •  Weekend Desk • Earnings Calendar

NVIDIA Sets November 17 Earnings Call as the Filings Tape Goes Quiet

November 1, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA) will report fiscal third-quarter 2027 results on Tuesday, November 17, at 2 p.m. PT, for the quarter that ended October 25, 2026, per its October 28 press release as shown on its newsroom. EDGAR feeds for 18 issuers show no new filing dated October 30 or later. The newest watchlist entry is a Nebius (Nasdaq: NBIS) Form 4 and Form 144 pair dated October 29. The Cboe VIX page still shows Friday data: 19.42, up 12.91 percent, against a 17.20 previous close. Nothing updated over the weekend and I found no cause for the move.

The Earnings Date

NVIDIA posted "NVIDIA Sets Conference Call for Third-Quarter Financial Results" on October 28, 2026. The newsroom text reads that the company will host the call on Tuesday, November 17, at 2 p.m. PT (5 p.m. ET). That gives the watchlist a hard anchor. Cloud and data center names (NBIS, IREN, WULF) and the chip group (MU, AVGO, CBRS, WOLF) will trade into that print for the next 16 days.

I read the date off the newsroom listing, not the press release or an 8-K. The matching 8-K, if one exists, is not verified.

What the Filings Show

The newest entries by issuer, as read from EDGAR submissions feeds on November 1, 2026: Nebius, October 29 (Form 144 accession 0001950047-26-010478 and Form 4 accession 0001513845-26-000143, both already covered in the October 30 post). Cerebras (Nasdaq: CBRS), Form 4 on October 28 and Form 144 on October 27, neither opened. Orchid Island (NYSE: ORC), October 23. NVIDIA, October 13. IREN, October 13, a proxy set. Micron, October 15. Rocket Lab, October 2. Everything else last filed in September or earlier.

Issuer Newest feed entry Status
NBIS 2026-10-29 Covered Oct 30
CBRS 2026-10-28 Form contents NOT VERIFIED
ORC 2026-10-23 No change
NVDA, MU, IREN 2026-10-13 to 10-15 No change
RKLB 2026-10-02 No change
AVGO, WULF, LUNR, ASTS, OKLO, SMR, AGNC 2026-09-01 to 09-25 No change
WOLF, RDW, PL, USA 2026-06-25 to 08-25 No change

Source: SEC EDGAR submissions JSON, read 2026-11-01. The fetch tool cut most feeds before the form-type array, so dates and accession numbers are verbatim but form types are not for most rows. A quiet feed is strong evidence, not proof, that nothing was filed.

The Volatility Read

The Cboe VIX page printed a spot of 19.42, a change of +12.91 percent (2.22), an open of 18.43 and a previous close of 17.20, labeled "Data as of 8:15 PM 10/30/2026." The 52-week range is 13.38 to 35.30. This is the same reading as yesterday. The markets are closed, so a refresh would carry no new information until Monday. The page lists its most active VIX call at the 22 strike expiring 11/11/2026 and its most active put at the 11 strike expiring 11/24/2026. I did not pull a chain and do not state premiums.

A harbor on Sunday looks calm because the boats are tied up. The tide table still says what Monday morning looks like.

What I Could Not Verify

No primary-source price or volume exists for any name, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run. Rocket Lab, Intuitive Machines and AST SpaceMobile newsrooms were unreadable (two errors and one robots block). The SEC daily index returned an error. FLY, KEEL, XE, RVI, VCX, ARKVX and THTA did not resolve on EDGAR, so distributions, NAV and premium or discount for the income and pre-IPO group are NOT VERIFIED. The last Destiny Tech100 NAV I have is $34.30 per share as of June 30, 2026.

The Bull Case

  • Known catalyst date. November 17 is fixed, so the watchlist has a dated reason to be repriced.
  • No company shock. No new filing from 18 issuers sits behind Friday's VIX jump.
  • Volatility still low in range. 19.42 is under the midpoint of the 13.38 to 35.30 band.

The Bear Case

  • Event risk is priced in the open. A single print 16 days out can drag every AI-linked name with it.
  • Unexplained VIX jump. A 12.91 percent move with no identified cause is a risk with no handle on it.
  • Blind coverage. No verified price or volume means a move in any name could already be underway.

The SharkWater Take

I am not building a trade off a calendar date and a stale volatility print. The November 17 call is the real event on my board, and everything on the watchlist should be read against it. Until I have Monday's tape, a live chain from my broker and a cause for the VIX move, the setup is not worth taking.

Tight lines, SharkWater

Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work.

Saturday, October 31, 2026

VIX Jumps 12.91 Percent to 19.42 as the Week Closes

SharkWater Trading  •  Weekend Desk • Volatility

VIX Jumps 12.91 Percent to 19.42 as the Week Closes

October 31, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

The VIX last printed 19.42 on Friday, up 2.22 points (12.91 percent) from a 17.20 previous close, per the Cboe page showing data as of 8:15 PM on 10/30/2026. On the filings side, only Nebius (Nasdaq: NBIS) posted anything new in the last two days: a Grimme Form 4 and a Boynton trust Form 144, both dated October 29 and both covered in yesterday's post. Seventeen other issuers showed nothing new on EDGAR. I have no verified session prices or volumes, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run.

The Volatility Read

The Cboe page printed a VIX spot of 19.42, a change of +2.22, an open of 18.43 and a previous close of 17.20. The 52-week range on the same page runs from 13.38 to 35.30. At 19.42 the index sits closer to the bottom of that range than the top. Yesterday's scan caught a midday reading of 18.69. The Friday figure is higher still, so the buying of protection kept going into the close.

Reading VIX Source and time
Previous close (Oct 29) 17.20 Cboe, as printed 10/30/2026
Open (Oct 30) 18.43 Cboe, as printed 10/30/2026
Midday read (Oct 30 scan) 18.69 Cboe, 12:12 PM label, delayed 20+ min
Last (Oct 30) 19.42 Cboe, 8:15 PM 10/30/2026 label, delayed 20+ min
52-week range 13.38 to 35.30 Cboe, same page

Source: Cboe VIX page (cboe.com/tradable_products/vix), read 2026-10-31. The page states no time zone for the 8:15 PM label and says values are delayed at least 20 minutes. The 12:12 PM label from yesterday's run did not reconcile with run time either, so treat intraday stamps as printed, not as exchange times.

A barometer falling a little each day is weather you can plan around. A barometer that drops 13 percent in one afternoon means somebody saw clouds you have not seen yet.

What the Filings Show

Nebius is the only watchlist name with new EDGAR entries dated October 29 or later: Form 4 accession 0001513845-26-000143 (director Arne Grimme, 205 shares at $159.04 on 10/27 and 148 shares at $169.84 on 10/28, 10b5-1 plan) and Form 144 accession 0001950047-26-010478 (Boynton trust, 333 shares, $60,719.22 aggregate). Both were in yesterday's post. Cerebras (Nasdaq: CBRS, CIK 2021728) has a Form 144 dated 2026-10-27 and a Form 4 dated 2026-10-28, both before this window and neither opened by me. The form contents are NOT VERIFIED.

Nothing new for NVIDIA, Micron, Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, Oklo, IREN, TeraWulf, Broadcom, Intuitive Machines, Wolfspeed, AGNC, Redwire, NuScale, Planet Labs, Orchid Island or Liberty All-Star. NVIDIA's newsroom did list a headline dated October 28, "NVIDIA Sets Conference Call for Third-Quarter Financial Results." The page showed no date or time, so the call date is NOT VERIFIED.

What I Could Not Verify

No primary-source price or volume for any name. Ten issuer newsrooms returned errors or blocked automated reads, including Nebius, Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, Firefly and Micron. Firefly, KEEL, X-energy, RVI, VCX, ARKVX and the correct Destiny Tech100 CIK did not resolve, so nothing on those was checked on EDGAR. The Destiny Tech100 site showed a net asset value of $34.30 per share as of June 30, 2026 and no premium, discount or distribution figure. That NAV is four months old.

The Bull Case

  • Still low in the range. A 19.42 reading is under the midpoint of the 13.38 to 35.30 52-week band.
  • Quiet filings tape. Seventeen of 18 issuers read showed no new EDGAR filing in the window, so no company-specific shock sits behind the move.
  • Room to settle. The Thursday close of 17.20 is the nearest reference point, and the index only has to give back 2.22 points to return to it.

The Bear Case

  • Direction is up. 17.20 to 18.43 at the open to 19.42 at the last print is a one-way day.
  • Unexplained. I found no primary-source cause for the jump, which is worse than a known cause.
  • Weekend gap risk. The reading came in on a Friday and the market has two days to digest whatever drove it.

The SharkWater Take

I am not trading a VIX print I cannot explain. A 12.91 percent jump into a weekend is a flag, not a thesis, and my watchlist filings give me no reason for it. I want Monday's open, a live options chain from my broker and a cause before I touch anything. Until then the setup is not worth taking.

Tight lines, SharkWater

Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work.

Friday, October 30, 2026

Grimme Keeps Buying, Boynton Files to Sell, and the VIX Jumps to 18.69

SharkWater Trading  •  Pre-Market Desk • Nebius Insiders and VIX

Grimme Keeps Buying, Boynton Files to Sell, and the VIX Jumps to 18.69

October 30, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

Two Nebius (Nasdaq: NBIS) filings landed on October 29. Director Arne Grimme bought 205 shares at $159.04 on October 27 and 148 shares at $169.84 on October 28 under a 10b5-1 plan adopted June 15. The same day, a director's trust, the John W Boynton IV Trust of 2006, filed a Form 144 to sell 333 shares with an aggregate value of $60,719.22. Separately, the VIX read 18.69, up 1.49 (8.66 percent) from a 17.20 close, on the Cboe page as of 12:12 PM on 10/30/2026. I have no verified session price or volume for any name, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run.

The Nebius Filings

Grimme's Form 4 (accession 0001513845-26-000143) shows two open-market purchases, code P, both flagged as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. A plan buys on schedule, not on conviction, so the fills are a price log more than a signal. They are still a clean log of where the stock traded.

Filing Trade date Shares Price Owned after
Grimme, Form 4 (buy) 2026-10-27 205 $159.04 7,603
Grimme, Form 4 (buy) 2026-10-28 148 $169.84 7,751
Boynton Trust, Form 144 (notice to sell) approx. 2026-10-29 333 $60,719.22 aggregate (implies about $182.34, my arithmetic) n/a

Source: SEC EDGAR Form 4 (form4.xml, accession 0001513845-26-000143) and Form 144 (primary_doc.xml, accession 0001950047-26-010478), both filed 2026-10-29, read 2026-10-30. The per-share figure for the Form 144 is the aggregate value divided by 333, not a number stated in the filing. These are fill prices and a filing estimate, not session closes.

Line up Grimme's October 26 fill of $153.96 (prior Form 4) with these and the plan's fills ran from $153.96 to $169.84 in three sessions, and the Boynton filing implies roughly $182.34 a day later. The buyer is adding small lots as the price rises. The seller is on a plan adopted March 6, with filed sales of 5,296 shares on 08/14, 6,364 on 09/15, 50 on 09/29 and 7,260 on 10/15, per the same Form 144. Shares outstanding per the form: 238,400,165. Grimme's total after the latest buy is 7,751 shares. The scale is small on both sides.

Two boats off the same dock on the same morning. One is trolling a small line on a timer. The other is hauling gear in on a schedule set months ago. Neither one saw the weather.

Volatility

The Cboe page showed the VIX at 18.69, up 8.66 percent from a 17.20 previous close, with an open of 18.43. The page printed "Data as of 12:12 PM 10/30/2026," delayed at least 20 minutes, and that timestamp does not reconcile with this morning's run time. Yesterday's scan read 17.31 against a 16.91 close. A bounce of this size is fear coming back into option prices. I have no live options chain, so I make no claim on premiums for any name.

What I Could Not Verify

No dated, primary-source price or volume for any watchlist name. Nebius posted a third quarter results date release today, but the page returned an error, so the date is not verified. EDGAR showed no new filings dated October 27 or later for the other 17 issuers read, but form types were not captured for most feeds. XE, KEEL, CBRS, USA, RVI, VCX, ARKVX and THTA were not checked, and Rocket Lab, NVIDIA, Micron, Oklo, Intuitive Machines, Firefly, IREN and Wolfspeed newsrooms could not be read.

The Bull Case

  • Buying into strength. Grimme's plan filled at $159.04 and then $169.84, higher each day, and his holding rose to 7,751 shares.
  • Small seller. The Boynton notice is 333 shares, $60,719.22, against 238,400,165 shares outstanding.
  • Earnings date is set. Nebius announced its third quarter date today, so a catalyst is on the calendar.

The Bear Case

  • Plans, not conviction. Both the buy and the sale sit inside pre-set 10b5-1 plans, so neither says what the insider thinks today.
  • Steady selling. The trust has filed sales every month since August, about $1.29 million in the October 15 sale alone.
  • Volatility rising. An 8.66 percent jump in the VIX to 18.69 is the wrong backdrop for a stock that ran from $153.96 to an implied $182.34 in four sessions.

The SharkWater Take

I am not reading a signal into either filing. A $25,000 plan buy and a $60,000 plan sale are bookkeeping on a stock this size. What I care about is the price path they reveal: higher fills three days running, then a Form 144 implying more. I want the verified session tape and the results date before I write a word about direction, and I do not have either this morning. No trade from me today.

Tight lines, SharkWater

Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work.

Thursday, October 29, 2026

VIX Ticks Up to 17.31 While the Filing Feed Stays Silent

SharkWater Trading  •  Pre-Market Desk • Watchlist Scan

VIX Ticks Up to 17.31 While the Filing Feed Stays Silent

October 29, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

The VIX read 17.31, up 0.40 from a 16.91 close, on the Cboe page as of 12:14 PM on 10/29/2026 (delayed at least 20 minutes; the timestamp does not reconcile with the run time). Yesterday's scan read 17.47. I checked SEC EDGAR for 18 of the 25 watchlist names and found no new filing since the October 26 Nebius Form 4. The only newsroom I read, Nebius, shows nothing newer than October 22. I could not pull a primary-source price or volume, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run.

Volatility

Options sellers get paid for fear. A close at 16.91 followed by a morning read of 17.31 puts the index in the high teens and bouncing off its lows. A 2.37 percent move in the VIX is noise, not a signal. I have no live options chain this morning, so I make no claim about premiums on any name.

Filings Check

Issuer Newest form Filed Note
NBIS (Nebius) Form 4 2026-10-26 Grimme plan buy, covered Oct 27
ORC (Orchid Island) Not shown in feed 2026-10-23 / 10-22 Q3 results, covered Oct 26 and 27
NVDA (NVIDIA) Not shown in feed 2026-10-13 No change
MU (Micron) Not shown in feed 2026-10-15 No change
IREN ARS, DEF 14A 2026-10-13 Proxy materials
RKLB (Rocket Lab) Form 4 2026-10-02 Feed lags
PL (Planet Labs) Form 4 2026-08-07 Feed lags, 8-K of 2026-09-03 not in top rows
FLY (Firefly) Form 4 2026-08-06 Feed lags
RDW (Redwire) Schedule 13G 2026-08-07 No change
DXYZ (Destiny Tech100) Schedule 13G 2026-08-14 Latest N-PORT 2026-05-29

Source: SEC EDGAR submissions feeds, read 2026-10-29. The feed does not show form types for every issuer, and several lag. XE, KEEL, CBRS, USA, RVI, VCX, ARKVX and THTA were not checked this run.

The newest item on the board is still the October 26 Form 4 from Nebius (Nasdaq: NBIS) director Arne Grimme: 208 shares at $153.96. No Form 4 for October 27 or 28 trades is in the feed yet. If the plan kept buying, it posts within two business days of the trade.

Two feeds disagree with search results. Planet Labs (NYSE: PL) shows an 8-K dated September 3 in search that is missing from the top of its feed, and Firefly Aerospace (Nasdaq: FLY) shows an August 11 8-K the same way. A quiet feed is not proof of a quiet issuer.

What I Could Not Verify

No dated, primary-source price or volume for any watchlist name. No newsroom check outside Nebius. No NAV, premium, or distribution data for RVI, VCX, ARKVX or THTA, and none for DXYZ beyond its filing list. A premarket-movers search returned only an October 21 article, which I did not use. I would rather list that than guess.

The Bull Case

  • Low stress. VIX at 17.31 after a 16.91 close leaves room for risk assets to hold the October levels.
  • No new dilution. No 424B or S-1 appeared among the form types the feed showed.
  • Insider buying continues. The last Nebius Form 4 on file is an October 26 plan buy.

The Bear Case

  • Thin evidence. Eighteen issuers read out of 25 is partial coverage. A quiet feed is not a clean bill.
  • Stale feeds. PL, FLY and RDW show filings from August. Lag, or a real lull, I cannot tell which.
  • No price check. Without a verified tape I cannot say whether the market already moved on news the filings have not caught.

The SharkWater Take

There is no trade here and I am not forcing one. A VIX near 17, an empty filing feed, and no verified quotes add up to a day to wait. I will look at the Nebius Form 4 for October 27 and 28 trades when it posts, because it tests whether that plan keeps buying. Until then I take no side on any name on this list.

Tight lines, SharkWater

Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work.