Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Quiet Filings, Calm VIX: Nothing New Across the Watchlist Before the Open

SharkWater Trading  •  Pre-Market Desk • Watchlist Scan

Quiet Filings, Calm VIX: Nothing New Across the Watchlist Before the Open

October 28, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

The VIX read 17.47, down 0.05 from a 17.52 close, on the Cboe page as of 11:36 AM on 10/28/2026 (delayed at least 20 minutes). The prior scan read 17.72. I checked SEC EDGAR for 13 of the 25 watchlist issuers and found no new filing since the October 26 Nebius Form 4. No issuer newsroom I could read showed a new release. I could not pull a primary-source price or volume, so the 5 percent and double-volume screens did not run. A quiet pre-market is a result, not a gap.

Volatility

Options sellers get paid for fear. At 17.47 on the Cboe VIX page, the index sits in the high teens: no stress, no complacency. It has drifted lower across two scans, from 17.72 to 17.47. I have no live options chain this morning, so I make no claim about premiums on any name.

Filings Check

Issuer Newest form Filed Note
NBIS (Nebius) Form 4 2026-10-26 Grimme plan buy, covered Oct 27
ORC (Orchid Island) 10-Q / 8-K 2026-10-23 / 10-22 Q3 results, covered Oct 26 and 27
NVDA (NVIDIA) Not shown in feed 2026-10-13 No change
MU (Micron) Not shown in feed 2026-10-15 No change
IREN ARS, DEF 14A 2026-10-13 Proxy materials
RKLB (Rocket Lab) Form 4 2026-10-02 Feed lags
AVGO (Broadcom) Not shown in feed 2026-09-25 No change
OKLO (Oklo) 424B5 / 8-K 2026-09-11 No change
ASTS (AST SpaceMobile) Form 4 2026-09-01 No change

Source: SEC EDGAR submissions feeds, read 2026-10-28. The feed does not show form types for every issuer, and several issuers lag. PL, RDW, FLY, XE, SMR, KEEL, CBRS, USA, RVI, DXYZ, VCX, ARKVX and THTA were not checked this run.

The newest item on the board is still the October 26 Form 4 from Nebius (Nasdaq: NBIS) director Arne Grimme: 208 shares at $153.96. A Form 4 for October 27 trades is not in the feed yet. If the plan kept buying, it will show up within two business days of the trade.

Orchid Island Capital (NYSE: ORC) filed an 8-K on October 22 furnishing its Q3 results release as an exhibit. The 8-K body gives no dividend or book value figures. Those sit in the exhibit, and I covered the 10-Q numbers on October 26 and 27.

What I Could Not Verify

No dated, primary-source price or volume for any watchlist name. No issuer-side check of the Rocket Lab or AST SpaceMobile newsrooms: one failed to load and the other blocks automated reads. No NAV, premium, or distribution data for RVI, DXYZ, VCX, ARKVX or THTA. I would rather list that than guess.

The Bull Case

  • Low stress. VIX at 17.47 and drifting lower leaves room for risk assets to hold the October levels.
  • No new dilution. No 424B or S-1 appeared among the form types the feed showed.
  • Insider buying continues. The Grimme plan has filed eight straight daily buys through October 26.

The Bear Case

  • Thin evidence. Thirteen issuers read out of 25 on the list is partial coverage. A quiet feed is not a clean bill.
  • Stale feeds. RKLB, ASTS and WOLF show filings weeks old. Lag, or a real lull, I cannot tell which.
  • No price check. Without a verified tape I cannot say whether the market already moved on news the filings have not caught.

The SharkWater Take

There is no trade here and I am not forcing one. A calm VIX, an empty filing feed, and no verified quotes add up to a day to wait. I will look at the Grimme Form 4 for October 27 trades when it posts, because it tests whether that plan keeps buying as NBIS drops. Until then I take no side on any name on this list.

Tight lines, SharkWater

Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own work.

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