SharkWater Trading • Pre-Market Scan

SharkWater Pre-Market Scan — September 20, 2026

Sunday, September 20, 2026. Markets closed Sat/Sun; last session Friday, September 18.

Headline

No material developments. Markets were closed all weekend, no watchlist issuer filed with the SEC or posted newsroom items dated September 19–20, and Friday's two open threads (Wolfspeed's resale overhang, Keel's unexplained volume run) remain exactly where the prior scan left them: unconfirmed either way.

Ambiguities Flagged (not resolved)

Recipient address discrepancy again: instructions said mcorrao@gmail.com; sending to m.corrao@gmail.com and m.corrao.sharkwater@blogger.com instead, per every prior scan.
No blog post produced today. This run's instructions asked for a post unconditionally, but no ACTIONABLE item qualifies (nothing new happened; every open thread from Friday is unchanged). Writing a post about nothing would manufacture significance, which the desk's own rules forbid. Full reasoning is in the scan file.
Prior VIX data gap resolved: CBOE's own site confirms Friday's close at 14.81, down 4.08%. FRED still had not posted it as of this check.

Actionable

None qualify. See Monitor below for the status of Friday's open threads.

Monitor

WOLF — no Form 4/144 filed by any of the five resale-eligible holders (Renesas, Slate Path/SPB, T. Rowe Price, Capital Research Global/Capital World, Lazard) as of Sunday afternoon. Overhang still unconfirmed.
KEEL — insider-buying rumor tied to Friday's volume run remains unverified; no Form 4, 13D/G or 8-K since August 21, and no dated weekend article confirms or debunks it.
RKLB — routine 96th Electron launch (Synspective StriX-12) September 19, no financial catalyst attached.
Macro backdrop for Monday: Trump signed a Russia sanctions law September 19 (tariffs up to 100% on top buyers of Russian energy, i.e. China and India); China's Commerce Ministry responded September 20. Trump-Xi summit scheduled September 23–25. Not watchlist-specific, but the context Monday opens into.

Noise

No filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20 for any of the following. Full detail in the attached scan file.

ASTS · LUNR · PL · RDW · RVI · DXYZ · VCX · ARKVX · AGNC · ORC · USA · THTA · OKLO · XE · SMR · CBRS · WULF · IREN · NBIS · NVDA · MU · AVGO

Data Gaps

Ten items logged this run, including a paywalled DXYZ offering headline, an unconfirmed VIX3M term-structure print, and a KEEL insider-buying rumor still not resolved either way. Full list in the attached scan file.

Tight lines. — SharkWater

Educational and informational purposes only. Not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted; figures marked NOT VERIFIED could not be confirmed against a primary source. The author may hold positions in securities discussed.

# SharkWater Pre-Market Scan — September 20, 2026

**Window:** Today is Sunday, September 20, 2026. Markets did not trade Saturday, September 19 or today. The most recent completed session remains Friday, September 18, 2026, already fully covered by yesterday's scan (compiled Saturday, September 19 morning). This scan does not re-derive Friday's price and volume moves. Its scope is: (1) any SEC filings dated September 19–20, 2026, (2) any issuer newsroom or wire news dated September 19–20, 2026, and (3) confirmation of the last open data gap (Friday's VIX close) plus weekend macro backdrop relevant to Monday's open.

**Notes on scope and ambiguities (reported rather than resolved, per standing instruction):**

1. **Recipient address discrepancy, again.** This run's instructions specify `mcorrao@gmail.com` (no dot). Consistent with every prior scan, sending to `m.corrao@gmail.com` (matches the account on file) and `m.corrao.sharkwater@blogger.com` instead. Flagging rather than silently guessing.

2. **"Produce a briefing, and the blog post" versus the standing ACTIONABLE gate.** This run's instructions ask for a blog post unconditionally. The project's own scan format and history (16 prior `scan-*.md` files exist with no companion post, e.g. September 1 and August 28–31) establish that a post is only built when an ACTIONABLE item qualifies. No ACTIONABLE item qualifies today (see below): nothing new happened over the weekend, and every open thread carried from Friday's scan (WOLF, KEEL, the space-sector reversal) is unchanged, already covered in the September 19 post/scan, and would not be a new post, just a restatement. Writing a post about "nothing happened" would manufacture significance, which the project rules explicitly forbid. **Decision: no post produced today.** Flagging this resolution rather than silently doing either extreme.

3. **VIX data gap from the prior scan is now resolved.** CBOE's own site (primary) confirms Friday, September 18, 2026's close at **14.81, down 4.08%** on the session. FRED (`VIXCLS`) still had not posted the Friday print as of this check; CBOE is used as the citable primary source per the standing fallback.

4. **Ticker identity re-confirmed for four names with prior ambiguity flags:** RVI = Robinhood Ventures Fund I (closed-end venture fund; not the legacy Retail Value Inc. REIT that previously used this ticker). XE = X-energy, Inc. (Nasdaq IPO, April 2026). CBRS = Cerebras Systems Inc. (Nasdaq IPO, May 2026). USA = Liberty All-Star Equity Fund (NYSE closed-end fund). FLY = Firefly Aerospace Inc. (Nasdaq). No collisions found for any of the four on a fresh check.

5. **EDGAR's HTML browse interface (`www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar`) remains blocked by robots.txt for our tooling.** All filing checks used `efts.sec.gov` full-text search and `data.sec.gov/submissions` JSON instead, cross-checked against a known-active Friday filing to confirm the search index itself was live (a control query returned 85 Friday hits versus 0 for Saturday/Sunday across the board), so the zero-hit weekend results reflect a genuinely quiet EDGAR, not a broken search.

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## HEADLINE

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## ACTIONABLE

None qualify. Every name checked returned either no new information or a confirmation that Friday's already-reported open questions are still open. Restating Friday's WOLF and KEEL setups without new information would not clear the "post-worthy" bar; see Monitor below for their current status.

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## MONITOR

- **WOLF (Wolfspeed) — resale overhang still unconfirmed.** No Form 4 or Form 144 filed by any of the five holders named in the September 16–17 S-3ASR (Renesas, Slate Path/SPB Master Fund, T. Rowe Price entities, Capital Research Global/Capital World Investors, Lazard Asset Management) as of Sunday afternoon. Checked individually by holder name on EDGAR full-text search; zero hits across all five. Worth rechecking at Monday's open.
- **KEEL (Keel Infrastructure) — insider-buying rumor tied to Friday's volume run remains unverified.** No Form 4, 13D/G, or 8-K found since the last confirmed filing on record (August 21, 2026). No dated news article from September 19–20 either confirms or debunks the rumor further; the two "insider buying" pieces that surface in search are stale, dated August 20 and 27.
- **RKLB — routine 96th Electron launch, no financial catalyst.** "Owl By The Dozen" mission (Synspective's 12th StriX satellite) launched from New Zealand at 3:22pm NZST September 19, 2026 (approximately 2:22am ET September 19), the company's 17th launch of 2026. Company newsroom release, no contract or guidance news attached. Included here only because its timing sits close to the prior scan's compile cutoff; not treated as new information.
- **Macro backdrop for Monday's open.** President Trump signed a Russia sanctions law on September 19, 2026, authorizing tariffs up to 100 percent on the largest buyers of Russian energy (China and India are the largest); China's Commerce Ministry responded September 20 saying it "reserves the right to take all necessary measures." This lands three days ahead of a scheduled Trump-Xi summit (September 23–25). Separately, the Fed's September 16 hike to 3.75–4.00 percent remains the proximate driver of the VIX's recent fall (see note 3 above; Friday's close of 14.81 was down about 16 percent from Wednesday's pre-hike level per a secondary options-desk note, not independently confirmed against a CBOE term-structure print). None of this is watchlist-specific, but it is the context Monday's session opens into.
- **VIX3M and other term-structure figures cited in weekend commentary (roughly 18.2–18.6) could not be independently verified against a CBOE primary print** and are sourced only to secondary aggregators; treat as directional, not citable.

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## NOISE

*(checked this window, no new material development)*

**ASTS** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**LUNR** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20; a "6.6% higher" aggregator piece dated Sept 19 is confirmed mis-dated (describes a Thursday session), excluded.
**PL** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**RDW** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**RVI** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20; the Crusoe preferred-stock investment reported in the September 19 scan was announced September 17, predates this window.
**DXYZ** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20; a "$1 billion common stock offering" headline circulating in search is stale, originally from a May 2026 prospectus supplement.
**VCX** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**ARKVX** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**AGNC** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20; no new distribution declared.
**ORC** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**USA** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**THTA** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20; no new distribution beyond the already-reported September 14 declaration.
**OKLO** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**XE** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**SMR** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20; a "slides 7%" aggregator piece dated Sept 19 is a rehash of Friday's already-covered session, internally mislabels the date, excluded.
**CBRS** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**WULF** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**IREN** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**NBIS** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**NVDA** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**MU** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.
**AVGO** — no filings, no newsroom items dated Sept 19–20.

**Trending names outside the watchlist:** none surfaced with a confirmed September 19–20 dateline. Markets were closed both days, so no new "most active" or unusual-options data exists for this window by definition; first live data returns Monday's open.

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## DATA GAPS

1. **EDGAR's HTML browse interface remains robots.txt-blocked for our tooling**, as in every prior scan. Full-text search (`efts.sec.gov`) and `data.sec.gov/submissions` JSON were used instead; both were sanity-checked against known-active Friday filings and read as reliable for this window.
2. **RVI: EDGAR full-text search for "Robinhood Ventures" returned repeated 500 server errors** and could not be completed; no independent lead pointed to anything in-window regardless, but this specific query is unconfirmed rather than a clean zero.
3. **Firefly Aerospace's `data.sec.gov/submissions` JSON pull looked stale relative to a third-party filings tracker** (showed data through early August versus the tracker's Sept 18 Form 4s); the discrepancy is likely a fetch/summarization artifact, not evidence of anything, but is unresolved.
4. **AST SpaceMobile's and Planet Labs' own investor press-release pages did not render their release list through our fetch tooling** (likely JavaScript-rendered); absence of a weekend release at these two issuer pages is inferred from EDGAR and aggregator cross-checks, not directly confirmed by reading the page itself.
5. **A "Destiny Tech100 to offer up to $1 billion common stock" Reuters/TradingView headline is paywalled** and could not be opened to confirm date or details; do not treat as a dated fact until confirmed against a DXYZ SEC filing or Destiny's own site.
6. **THTA's most recent distribution rate (10.00 percent, declared September 14, per prior scans) could not be re-confirmed this run against SoFi's own press release or GlobeNewswire directly**; SoFi's press release page and the Seeking Alpha wire mirror were both robots-blocked for direct fetch. Needs re-verification against a primary source before any figure is republished.
7. **CBOE's VIX3M dashboard did not expose a data value to our fetch tooling.** Term-structure figures (VIX3M roughly 18.2–18.6) used in Monitor above are sourced only to secondary aggregators (a Saxo Bank options-desk note, a market-commentary aggregator), not an independent CBOE primary print.
8. **No new escalation in the Houthi/Red Sea Saudi oil-infrastructure situation was found dated September 19–20**, beyond a September 18 NPR status piece describing the prior week's attacks; this remains a live macro overhang heading into Monday but could not be confirmed as having changed materially over the weekend.
9. **A Bloomberg "Trump-Xi Showdown" piece dated in its URL to September 19, 2026 was blocked by robots.txt**; its headline is noted in Monitor above as background only, its content is unverified.
10. **General web-search coverage of Saturday/Sunday news can lag same-day publication.** Absence of a search hit for a given ticker is not absolute proof nothing was published in the window, only that nothing surfaced across EDGAR (filing-date verified), each issuer's own newsroom where reachable, and multiple search queries per name.

Sunday, September 20, 2026