SharkWater Trading • Desk Notes • Pre-Market Scan

SharkWater Pre-Market Scan — September 28, 2026

September 28, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

No material company-specific developments surfaced this window. No fresh 8-K, 424B5, S-1, 13D, or 13G was found for any watchlist ticker since Friday's close, and no distribution or NAV event was found for the six income and pre-IPO funds checked. The day's only scheduled catalyst is SpaceX's Starship Flight 14, its first orbital launch attempt, targeting an 8:49am ET liftoff; the outcome was not known as of this scan. Nothing here clears the bar for a standalone post today.

Correction to the record

The "unpublished backlog" flagged in the September 20, 22, and 27 scans was a false alarm. Those scans searched Gmail's default inbox view, which excludes Trash, and concluded nothing had reached Blogger since September 17. Checking Trash this run, and confirming directly against sharkwatertrading.com, shows every post from September 18 through September 27 was in fact sent and is live on the blog, correctly dated through the September 27 TeraWulf correction. Nothing needs to be resent. No decision is needed from you on this.

Actionable

None qualify this run. Checked and came up empty: fresh filings (8-K, 424B5, S-1, 13D, 13G) for all twenty-six watchlist tickers since Friday, September 25's close; distribution or NAV events for RVI, DXYZ, VCX, ARKVX, THTA, and AGNC; and any confirmed post-Friday price move, since no new session has closed between then and this scan.

Monitor

Space sector, forward-looking. SpaceX is attempting Starship's first-ever orbital flight this morning, an 8:15–9:30am ET window targeting 8:49am ET liftoff (SpaceX's own account and Space.com's live coverage; outcome unknown as of this scan). A clean result or a public failure could move sentiment across RKLB, ASTS, LUNR, PL, RDW, and FLY today with no company-specific news attached; none of those tickers has been confirmed as a stated payload or hardware partner on this mission.
Macro, secondary sourcing. S&P 500 futures were down roughly 0.6 percent this morning on a reported US rejection of an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with Brent crude reported near $107 a barrel (Investrade's morning note, secondary; not checked against a primary wire or exchange settlement).
Fundrise Innovation Fund II, LLC filed an N-2/A on September 25, 2026 (EDGAR full text search, primary for the filing's existence, document not read this run). This is a separate legal entity from VCX, the Fundrise vehicle already on the watchlist. Whether it competes for the same investor base as VCX, RVI, DXYZ, and ARKVX, and what it means for VCX's NAV premium, was not traced this run.
NVDA, secondary and not filing-based. Nvidia reportedly introduced a new hardware security architecture and may be permitted to sell its RTX Pro 5500 chip in China (Investrade's morning note, secondary; no primary Nvidia newsroom item checked this run).
AVGO / OKLO / XE, unchanged. The FT-reported SASAC review of Broadcom's China switching-hardware dependency remains open and secondary-sourced only. Oklo's newsroom URL 404'd again this run; UBS's prior price-target cut and X-Energy's leadership change are unchanged.

Noise

Checked against EDGAR this window, no new filing found, unless noted.

ASTS — no new filing; press page not re-checked (prior JS-rendering issue).
RKLB — no new filing since the Sept 25 Electron launch already logged.
LUNR — no change.
PL — no change.
FLY — no change. Reconfirmed as Firefly Aerospace Inc., not the legacy Fly Leasing entity.
RDW — no change.
RVI — no change. Reconfirmed as Robinhood Ventures Fund I, not the legacy Retail Value Inc. REIT.
DXYZ — no change (checked against Destiny Tech100).
VCX — no new filing under Fundrise Innovation Fund itself; see Monitor for the related Fund II item.
ARKVX — no change (checked against ARK Venture Fund).
AGNC — no change. September's $0.12 dividend was already declared September 10, ahead of this window.
ORC — no change. September's dividend was already declared September 14, ahead of this window.
USA — no change (checked against Liberty All-Star Equity Fund).
THTA — no change. A 10.00 percent distribution rate was already announced September 14, ahead of this window.
IREN — no change.
NBIS — no change.
KEEL — no change. Reconfirmed as Keel Infrastructure Corp.
CBRS — no change. Ticker remains Cerebras Systems Inc.
WOLF — no change.
NVDA — no new SEC filing; see Monitor for a secondary item.
MU — no change.
AVGO — no new filing; see Monitor for the carried-over SASAC item.
SMR — no change.

Data Gaps

No exact, primary-sourced VIX print for today exists in this scan; only secondary references to a risk-off tone were found.
Oklo's newsroom URL 404'd again this run, same failure as September 27; its press page remains unconfirmed clean of any weekend or Monday-morning announcement.
AST SpaceMobile's own investor press-release page was not re-checked this run (prior JavaScript-rendering issue).
The relationship between "Fundrise Innovation Fund," "Fundrise Growth Tech Fund, LLC" (VCX's issuer name per Yahoo Finance), and "Fundrise Innovation Fund II, LLC" (the entity that filed the September 25 N-2/A) was not resolved. This needs a primary-source read before anything is written about VCX tied to that filing.
Whether any watchlist ticker is a stated payload, hardware, or ground-systems partner on today's Starship Flight 14 mission was not verified.
Liberty All-Star Equity Fund's (USA) most recent distribution declaration date was not independently re-verified this run.
The Fundrise Innovation Fund II N-2/A's actual content was not read this run, only its existence and filing date via EDGAR metadata.

Tight lines. — SharkWater

SharkWater Trading pre-market scan. Educational and informational purposes only, not personalized investment advice. All figures sourced as noted and accurate as of publication.

Monday, September 28, 2026